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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

34%

Celta Vigo

2.97

26%

Draw

3.82

40%

Real Madrid

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.69

1.42

Real Madrid xG

34%
26%
40%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid

2.97

34%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

24%

Celta Vigo

4.12

28%

Real Madrid

3.58

Win to Nil

8%

Celta Vigo

12.21

11%

Real Madrid

8.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 9.6 6.8 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 8.7 12.2 8.7 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.5 7.8 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.3 3.3 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.276
λ Away (xG) 1.415
Total xG 2.691
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.129
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.106
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.968
Real Madrid attack strength 1.295
Real Madrid defence strength 0.766
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64