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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

52%

Celta Vigo

1.92

25%

Draw

3.93

22%

Osasuna

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.50

0.93

Osasuna xG

52%
25%
22%
Celta VigoDrawOsasuna

1.92

52%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

Celta Vigo

2.54

21%

Osasuna

4.81

Win to Nil

21%

Celta Vigo

4.87

5%

Osasuna

21.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.6 3.6 1.1 0.3
1 12.9 12.0 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.570
λ Away (xG) 0.932
Total xG 2.502
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.151
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.171
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.012
Osasuna attack strength 0.799
Osasuna defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62