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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

37%

Celta Vigo

2.68

27%

Draw

3.72

36%

Espanyol

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.52

1.25

Espanyol xG

37%
27%
36%
Celta VigoDrawEspanyol

2.68

37%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

29%

Celta Vigo

3.47

28%

Espanyol

3.58

Win to Nil

11%

Celta Vigo

9.32

10%

Espanyol

9.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 10.0 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.3 12.8 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.5 8.1 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.274
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 2.519
League avg home goals 1.383
League avg away goals 1.136
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.939
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.167
Espanyol attack strength 0.940
Espanyol defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51