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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

50%

Celta Vigo

1.98

24%

Draw

4.10

25%

Espanyol

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.75

1.09

Espanyol xG

50%
24%
25%
Celta VigoDrawEspanyol

1.98

50%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

33%

Celta Vigo

2.99

19%

Espanyol

5.23

Win to Nil

17%

Celta Vigo

5.92

5%

Espanyol

20.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.0 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.6 11.6 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.6 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.655
λ Away (xG) 1.094
Total xG 2.749
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.252
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.099
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.915
Espanyol attack strength 0.955
Espanyol defence strength 1.124
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 29