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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

37%

Celta Vigo

2.72

29%

Draw

3.48

34%

Athletic Club

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.25

1.10

Athletic Club xG

37%
29%
34%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Club

2.72

37%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

33%

Celta Vigo

3.01

32%

Athletic Club

3.16

Win to Nil

12%

Celta Vigo

8.19

11%

Athletic Club

9.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 11.6 6.4 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 12.1 13.3 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.9 7.7 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.149
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.252
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.107
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.847
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.144
Athletic Club attack strength 0.872
Athletic Club defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54