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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

47%

Celta Vigo

2.14

27%

Draw

3.75

27%

Athletic Club

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.43

1.01

Athletic Club xG

47%
27%
27%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Club

2.14

47%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

37%

Celta Vigo

2.74

24%

Athletic Club

4.16

Win to Nil

17%

Celta Vigo

5.86

6%

Athletic Club

15.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 8.8 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.6 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 9.0 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 2.433
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.164
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.167
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.824
Athletic Club attack strength 1.050
Athletic Club defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57