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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

15:15

Venue

Camp Nou

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

67%

Barcelona

1.49

21%

Draw

4.84

12%

Villarreal

8.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.20

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.06

0.86

Villarreal xG

67%
21%
12%
BarcelonaDrawVillarreal

1.49

67%

Home win

4.84

21%

Draw

8.15

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

42%

Barcelona

2.35

11%

Villarreal

9.04

Win to Nil

28%

Barcelona

3.51

1%

Villarreal

73.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 8.9 3.8 1.1 0.2
2 11.4 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.4 7.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.6 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.202
λ Away (xG) 0.856
Total xG 3.058
League avg home goals 1.522
League avg away goals 1.127
Barcelona attack strength 1.523
Barcelona defence strength 0.661
Villarreal attack strength 1.149
Villarreal defence strength 0.950
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63