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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadi Johan Cruyff

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

52%

Barcelona

1.93

24%

Draw

4.17

24%

Valencia

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.81

1.10

Valencia xG

52%
24%
24%
BarcelonaDrawValencia

1.93

52%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

33%

Barcelona

2.99

18%

Valencia

5.56

Win to Nil

17%

Barcelona

5.78

4%

Valencia

22.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.6 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.3 11.3 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.1 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.715
λ Away (xG) 1.096
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.119
Barcelona attack strength 1.271
Barcelona defence strength 1.057
Valencia attack strength 0.927
Valencia defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41