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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

60%

Barcelona

1.67

22%

Draw

4.50

18%

Valencia

5.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.79

0.92

Valencia xG

60%
22%
18%
BarcelonaDrawValencia

1.67

60%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

5.54

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

40%

Barcelona

2.51

15%

Valencia

6.49

Win to Nil

24%

Barcelona

4.20

3%

Valencia

35.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.5 10.6 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.7 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 3.1 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.871
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 2.790
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.170
Barcelona attack strength 1.220
Barcelona defence strength 1.038
Valencia attack strength 0.757
Valencia defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58