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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

63%

Barcelona

1.59

22%

Draw

4.49

15%

Real Sociedad

6.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.55

0.74

Real Sociedad xG

63%
22%
15%
BarcelonaDrawReal Sociedad

1.59

63%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

6.83

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

48%

Barcelona

2.09

16%

Real Sociedad

6.14

Win to Nil

30%

Barcelona

3.31

2%

Real Sociedad

41.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 5.7 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.1 10.4 3.8 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 9.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 7.8 5.7 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 2.6 1.0 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.815
λ Away (xG) 0.737
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.126
Barcelona attack strength 1.375
Barcelona defence strength 0.867
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.755
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63