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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Camp Nou

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

55%

Barcelona

1.81

23%

Draw

4.29

21%

Real Madrid

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.79

1.01

Real Madrid xG

55%
23%
21%
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid

1.81

55%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

36%

Barcelona

2.75

17%

Real Madrid

5.89

Win to Nil

20%

Barcelona

4.97

4%

Real Madrid

27.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.0 11.1 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.7 5.8 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.774
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.785
League avg home goals 1.521
League avg away goals 1.157
Barcelona attack strength 1.535
Barcelona defence strength 0.728
Real Madrid attack strength 1.201
Real Madrid defence strength 0.760
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72