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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

48%

Barcelona

2.10

25%

Draw

4.04

28%

Real Madrid

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.76

1.16

Real Madrid xG

48%
25%
28%
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid

2.10

48%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

31%

Barcelona

3.18

20%

Real Madrid

4.97

Win to Nil

15%

Barcelona

6.67

6%

Real Madrid

18.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.1 11.7 6.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.4 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.3 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.603
λ Away (xG) 1.157
Total xG 2.760
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.185
Barcelona attack strength 1.509
Barcelona defence strength 0.853
Real Madrid attack strength 1.145
Real Madrid defence strength 0.764
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72