🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Barcelona Win
79%
1.26
14%
7.32
7%
14.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.0%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.8%
Home win
1 – 0
8.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.72
Barcelona xG
Total xG
3.43
0.71
Rayo Vallecano xG
BarcelonaDrawRayo Vallecano
1.26
79%
Home win
7.32
14%
Draw
14.16
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.10
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
49%
2.04
7%
15.12
Win to Nil
39%
2.57
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 8.8 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 10.8 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.716
λ Away (xG)
0.711
Total xG
3.427
League avg home goals
1.554
League avg away goals
1.129
Barcelona attack strength
1.675
Barcelona defence strength
0.792
Rayo Vallecano attack strength
0.795
Rayo Vallecano defence strength
1.043
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66