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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Barcelona Win
51%
1.96
27%
3.69
22%
4.56
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
2 – 0
10.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.45
Barcelona xG
Total xG
2.30
0.85
Rayo Vallecano xG
BarcelonaDrawRayo Vallecano
1.96
51%
Home win
3.69
27%
Draw
4.56
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
43%
2.34
23%
4.26
Win to Nil
22%
4.60
5%
19.43
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.5 | 12.4 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.449
λ Away (xG)
0.852
Total xG
2.301
League avg home goals
1.430
League avg away goals
1.158
Barcelona attack strength
1.427
Barcelona defence strength
0.925
Rayo Vallecano attack strength
0.795
Rayo Vallecano defence strength
0.710
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
61 / 61