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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

64%

Barcelona

1.57

20%

Draw

4.96

16%

Mallorca

6.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.09

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.04

0.95

Mallorca xG

64%
20%
16%
BarcelonaDrawMallorca

1.57

64%

Home win

4.96

20%

Draw

6.20

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

39%

Barcelona

2.58

12%

Mallorca

8.08

Win to Nil

25%

Barcelona

4.04

2%

Mallorca

50.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 10.0 9.5 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.3 6.9 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 3.8 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.090
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 3.036
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.260
Barcelona attack strength 1.656
Barcelona defence strength 0.883
Mallorca attack strength 0.850
Mallorca defence strength 0.949
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70