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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

15:15

Venue

Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

74%

Barcelona

1.35

16%

Draw

6.26

10%

Girona

9.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

3 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.60

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.48

0.88

Girona xG

74%
16%
BarcelonaDrawGirona

1.35

74%

Home win

6.26

16%

Draw

9.92

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

41%

Barcelona

2.41

7%

Girona

13.48

Win to Nil

31%

Barcelona

3.26

1%

Girona

133.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 8.0 7.0 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 10.4 9.2 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 9.0 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
4 5.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
5 3.1 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.601
λ Away (xG) 0.880
Total xG 3.481
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 1.166
Barcelona attack strength 1.542
Barcelona defence strength 0.838
Girona attack strength 0.901
Girona defence strength 1.162
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46