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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadi Johan Cruyff

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

63%

Barcelona

1.58

20%

Draw

4.95

17%

Getafe

6.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.36

1.10

Getafe xG

63%
20%
17%
BarcelonaDrawGetafe

1.58

63%

Home win

4.95

20%

Draw

6.00

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

33%

Barcelona

2.99

10%

Getafe

9.62

Win to Nil

21%

Barcelona

4.74

2%

Getafe

57.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 7.9 8.6 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 6.7 7.4 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.8 4.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.264
λ Away (xG) 1.096
Total xG 3.360
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.125
Barcelona attack strength 1.631
Barcelona defence strength 0.929
Getafe attack strength 1.049
Getafe defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42