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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Camp Nou

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

74%

Barcelona

1.36

16%

Draw

6.41

11%

Espanyol

9.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

3 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.57

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.45

0.88

Espanyol xG

74%
16%
BarcelonaDrawEspanyol

1.36

74%

Home win

6.41

16%

Draw

9.41

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

41%

Barcelona

2.41

8%

Espanyol

13.07

Win to Nil

31%

Barcelona

3.27

1%

Espanyol

122.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.2 7.2 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 10.5 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 9.0 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
4 5.8 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.1
5 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.570
λ Away (xG) 0.880
Total xG 3.450
League avg home goals 1.554
League avg away goals 1.124
Barcelona attack strength 1.549
Barcelona defence strength 0.767
Espanyol attack strength 1.021
Espanyol defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68