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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 22 Apr 2026

20:30

Venue

Camp Nou

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

64%

Barcelona

1.57

19%

Draw

5.13

17%

Celta Vigo

5.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.20

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.24

1.04

Celta Vigo xG

64%
19%
17%
BarcelonaDrawCelta Vigo

1.57

64%

Home win

5.13

19%

Draw

5.98

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

35%

Barcelona

2.82

11%

Celta Vigo

9.03

Win to Nil

23%

Barcelona

4.42

2%

Celta Vigo

54.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.6 9.0 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.0 7.2 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.8 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
5 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.201
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 3.237
League avg home goals 1.550
League avg away goals 1.136
Barcelona attack strength 1.607
Barcelona defence strength 0.783
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.165
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69