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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

69%

Barcelona

1.45

18%

Draw

5.61

13%

Celta Vigo

7.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.33

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.24

0.91

Celta Vigo xG

69%
18%
13%
BarcelonaDrawCelta Vigo

1.45

69%

Home win

5.61

18%

Draw

7.60

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

40%

Barcelona

2.49

10%

Celta Vigo

10.26

Win to Nil

28%

Barcelona

3.62

1%

Celta Vigo

77.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 8.3 3.8 1.2 0.3
2 10.6 9.7 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.2 7.5 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 4.8 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.328
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 3.242
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.246
Barcelona attack strength 1.571
Barcelona defence strength 0.752
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.976
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.117
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69