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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Tue 2 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Camp Nou

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

56%

Barcelona

1.78

23%

Draw

4.36

21%

Atletico Madrid

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.82

1.01

Atletico Madrid xG

56%
23%
21%
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid

1.78

56%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

36%

Barcelona

2.75

16%

Atletico Madrid

6.12

Win to Nil

20%

Barcelona

4.89

3%

Atletico Madrid

29.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 10.9 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.812
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.823
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.129
Barcelona attack strength 1.747
Barcelona defence strength 0.853
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.050
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.760
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52