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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

32%

Barcelona

3.11

26%

Draw

3.82

42%

Atletico Madrid

2.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Barcelona xG

Total xG

2.61

1.41

Atletico Madrid xG

32%
26%
42%
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid

3.11

32%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.40

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

24%

Barcelona

4.09

30%

Atletico Madrid

3.34

Win to Nil

8%

Barcelona

12.72

12%

Atletico Madrid

8.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 10.3 7.3 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 8.8 12.4 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.3 7.5 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.1 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.409
Total xG 2.614
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.142
Barcelona attack strength 1.251
Barcelona defence strength 0.998
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.236
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.680
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 55