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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

15:15

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

56%

Atletico Madrid

1.80

22%

Draw

4.60

23%

Sevilla

4.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

2 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.24

1.22

Sevilla xG

56%
22%
23%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla

1.80

56%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

4.41

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

29%

Atletico Madrid

3.40

13%

Sevilla

7.49

Win to Nil

16%

Atletico Madrid

6.12

3%

Sevilla

33.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.8 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 7.9 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.3 6.5 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.014
λ Away (xG) 1.223
Total xG 3.237
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.182
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.428
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.916
Sevilla attack strength 1.129
Sevilla defence strength 1.024
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48