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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:15

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

33%

Atletico Madrid

2.99

27%

Draw

3.66

39%

Real Madrid

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.06

1.60

Real Madrid xG

33%
27%
39%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid

2.99

33%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

20%

Atletico Madrid

4.95

23%

Real Madrid

4.33

Win to Nil

7%

Atletico Madrid

14.81

9%

Real Madrid

11.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 7.5 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
1 6.8 10.9 8.7 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.0 6.4 3.4 1.4 0.4
3 2.4 3.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.465
λ Away (xG) 1.599
Total xG 3.064
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 1.153
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.282
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.942
Real Madrid attack strength 1.471
Real Madrid defence strength 0.804
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44