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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Thu 24 Apr 2025

20:30

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

45%

Atletico Madrid

2.22

26%

Draw

3.86

29%

Rayo Vallecano

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.60

1.13

Rayo Vallecano xG

45%
26%
29%
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano

2.22

45%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

32%

Atletico Madrid

3.10

23%

Rayo Vallecano

4.36

Win to Nil

15%

Atletico Madrid

6.89

7%

Rayo Vallecano

14.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.4 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.9 12.3 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.1 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.472
λ Away (xG) 1.131
Total xG 2.603
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.213
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.250
Atletico Madrid defence strength 1.021
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.913
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.894
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70