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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

75%

Atletico Madrid

1.34

15%

Draw

6.48

10%

Oviedo

9.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.56

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.39

0.83

Oviedo xG

75%
15%
Atletico MadridDrawOviedo

1.34

75%

Home win

6.48

15%

Draw

9.98

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

43%

Atletico Madrid

2.30

8%

Oviedo

12.87

Win to Nil

32%

Atletico Madrid

3.09

1%

Oviedo

128.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 8.6 7.2 3.0 0.8 0.2
2 11.0 9.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 9.4 7.8 3.3 0.9 0.2
4 6.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
5 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.555
λ Away (xG) 0.835
Total xG 3.390
League avg home goals 1.395
League avg away goals 1.124
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.505
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.868
Oviedo attack strength 0.856
Oviedo defence strength 1.218
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 13