Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

65%

Atletico Madrid

1.54

21%

Draw

4.77

14%

Osasuna

7.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.90

0.85

Osasuna xG

65%
21%
14%
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna

1.54

65%

Home win

4.77

21%

Draw

7.03

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

43%

Atletico Madrid

2.34

13%

Osasuna

7.76

Win to Nil

28%

Atletico Madrid

3.61

2%

Osasuna

54.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.3 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.2
2 11.6 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 7.9 6.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.0 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.049
λ Away (xG) 0.850
Total xG 2.899
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.177
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.481
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.980
Osasuna attack strength 0.737
Osasuna defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46