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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

62%

Atletico Madrid

1.62

22%

Draw

4.50

16%

Mallorca

6.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.66

0.81

Mallorca xG

62%
22%
16%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca

1.62

62%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

6.24

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

44%

Atletico Madrid

2.25

16%

Mallorca

6.31

Win to Nil

27%

Atletico Madrid

3.65

3%

Mallorca

39.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 5.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.9 10.5 4.3 1.2 0.2
2 11.9 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 7.3 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 3.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.842
λ Away (xG) 0.813
Total xG 2.655
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 1.161
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.154
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.811
Mallorca attack strength 0.864
Mallorca defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59