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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

50%

Atletico Madrid

2.00

25%

Draw

3.99

25%

Girona

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.63

1.05

Girona xG

50%
25%
25%
Atletico MadridDrawGirona

2.00

50%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

35%

Atletico Madrid

2.85

20%

Girona

4.89

Win to Nil

18%

Atletico Madrid

5.71

5%

Girona

19.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.5 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.4 11.9 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.588
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.635
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.149
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.133
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.993
Girona attack strength 0.918
Girona defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74