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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

15:15

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

51%

Atletico Madrid

1.96

26%

Draw

3.78

22%

Getafe

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.54

0.96

Getafe xG

51%
26%
22%
Atletico MadridDrawGetafe

1.96

51%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

38%

Atletico Madrid

2.62

21%

Getafe

4.83

Win to Nil

19%

Atletico Madrid

5.13

5%

Getafe

21.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.5 12.0 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.4 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.1 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.574
λ Away (xG) 0.962
Total xG 2.536
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.131
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.288
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.937
Getafe attack strength 0.908
Getafe defence strength 0.805
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65