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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

13:00

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

59%

Atletico Madrid

1.71

24%

Draw

4.14

17%

Getafe

5.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.45

0.78

Getafe xG

59%
24%
17%
Atletico MadridDrawGetafe

1.71

59%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

5.77

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

46%

Atletico Madrid

2.18

19%

Getafe

5.29

Win to Nil

27%

Atletico Madrid

3.73

3%

Getafe

30.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.4 11.3 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 12.0 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.7 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 2.2 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.666
λ Away (xG) 0.780
Total xG 2.446
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.163
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.293
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.956
Getafe attack strength 0.701
Getafe defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54