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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

60%

Atletico Madrid

1.66

24%

Draw

4.12

16%

Espanyol

6.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.79

0.88

Espanyol xG

60%
24%
16%
Atletico MadridDrawEspanyol

1.66

60%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

6.39

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

41%

Atletico Madrid

2.42

15%

Espanyol

6.72

Win to Nil

25%

Atletico Madrid

4.03

2%

Espanyol

42.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.7 10.4 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.2 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.1 6.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.4 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.905
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.789
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 1.134
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.135
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.751
Espanyol attack strength 1.037
Espanyol defence strength 1.116
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62