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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

47%

Atletico Madrid

2.15

25%

Draw

4.06

29%

Celta Vigo

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.82

1.21

Celta Vigo xG

47%
25%
29%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo

2.15

47%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

30%

Atletico Madrid

3.35

20%

Celta Vigo

4.99

Win to Nil

14%

Atletico Madrid

7.20

6%

Celta Vigo

17.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 9.6 11.6 7.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.3 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.607
λ Away (xG) 1.210
Total xG 2.817
League avg home goals 1.548
League avg away goals 1.162
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.226
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.985
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.057
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.847
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72