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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

67%

Atletico Madrid

1.50

20%

Draw

5.07

14%

Celta Vigo

7.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.88

0.81

Celta Vigo xG

67%
20%
14%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo

1.50

67%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

7.39

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

45%

Atletico Madrid

2.24

13%

Celta Vigo

7.96

Win to Nil

30%

Atletico Madrid

3.36

2%

Celta Vigo

58.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 9.4 3.8 1.0 0.2
2 12.0 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.3 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.1
4 4.3 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.074
λ Away (xG) 0.808
Total xG 2.882
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.148
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.151
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.767
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.917
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.256
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61