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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

45%

Atletico Madrid

2.22

25%

Draw

4.07

30%

Barcelona

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.01

1.33

Barcelona xG

45%
25%
30%
Atletico MadridDrawBarcelona

2.22

45%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

26%

Atletico Madrid

3.80

19%

Barcelona

5.32

Win to Nil

12%

Atletico Madrid

8.43

6%

Barcelona

17.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.6 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.3 11.0 7.4 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.2 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.9 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.672
λ Away (xG) 1.335
Total xG 3.007
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.121
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.225
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.877
Barcelona attack strength 1.359
Barcelona defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67