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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

36%

Atletico Madrid

2.80

26%

Draw

3.91

39%

Barcelona

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.74

1.40

Barcelona xG

36%
26%
39%
Atletico MadridDrawBarcelona

2.80

36%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

25%

Atletico Madrid

4.07

26%

Barcelona

3.81

Win to Nil

9%

Atletico Madrid

11.41

10%

Barcelona

9.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 9.1 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 8.6 12.1 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.1 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 2.6 3.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.337
λ Away (xG) 1.404
Total xG 2.741
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.146
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.093
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.744
Barcelona attack strength 1.648
Barcelona defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64