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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Metropolitano Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

66%

Atletico Madrid

1.52

19%

Draw

5.14

15%

Athletic Club

6.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

3.04

0.90

Athletic Club xG

66%
19%
15%
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Club

1.52

66%

Home win

5.14

19%

Draw

6.85

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

41%

Atletico Madrid

2.45

12%

Athletic Club

8.53

Win to Nil

27%

Atletico Madrid

3.72

2%

Athletic Club

58.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.2 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.3
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.8 7.0 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 4.2 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.144
λ Away (xG) 0.898
Total xG 3.042
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.113
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.191
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.934
Athletic Club attack strength 0.864
Athletic Club defence strength 1.169
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70