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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

46%

Atletico Madrid

2.18

27%

Draw

3.71

27%

Athletic Club

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Atletico Madrid xG

Total xG

2.47

1.04

Athletic Club xG

46%
27%
27%
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Club

2.18

46%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

35%

Atletico Madrid

2.82

24%

Athletic Club

4.19

Win to Nil

16%

Atletico Madrid

6.14

6%

Athletic Club

15.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 8.8 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.1 12.6 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.0 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.433
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.470
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.146
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.096
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.796
Athletic Club attack strength 1.138
Athletic Club defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63