Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

47%

Athletic Club

2.13

25%

Draw

3.97

28%

Sevilla

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.69

1.14

Sevilla xG

47%
25%
28%
Athletic ClubDrawSevilla

2.13

47%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

32%

Athletic Club

3.12

21%

Sevilla

4.74

Win to Nil

15%

Athletic Club

6.65

6%

Sevilla

17.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.7 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.5 12.0 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.3 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.555
λ Away (xG) 1.138
Total xG 2.693
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.254
Athletic Club attack strength 1.051
Athletic Club defence strength 0.891
Sevilla attack strength 1.018
Sevilla defence strength 1.104
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38