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Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 24 Nov 2024

20:00

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

33%

Athletic Club

3.01

32%

Draw

3.09

34%

Real Sociedad

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

1.85

0.94

Real Sociedad xG

33%
32%
34%
Athletic ClubDrawReal Sociedad

3.01

33%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.74

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

39%

Athletic Club

2.55

40%

Real Sociedad

2.50

Win to Nil

13%

Athletic Club

7.67

14%

Real Sociedad

7.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7 14.7 6.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.4 13.5 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 6.6 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.915
λ Away (xG) 0.936
Total xG 1.851
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.100
Athletic Club attack strength 1.055
Athletic Club defence strength 0.946
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.899
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.591
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51