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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

13:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

49%

Athletic Club

2.03

26%

Draw

3.88

25%

Oviedo

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.60

1.04

Oviedo xG

49%
26%
25%
Athletic ClubDrawOviedo

2.03

49%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

35%

Athletic Club

2.82

21%

Oviedo

4.77

Win to Nil

17%

Athletic Club

5.72

5%

Oviedo

19.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.6 12.0 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.4 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.7 4.9 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.563
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.600
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.139
Athletic Club attack strength 0.868
Athletic Club defence strength 0.961
Oviedo attack strength 0.948
Oviedo defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 11