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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

65%

Athletic Club

1.54

22%

Draw

4.48

13%

Osasuna

7.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.42

0.64

Osasuna xG

65%
22%
13%
Athletic ClubDrawOsasuna

1.54

65%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

7.79

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

53%

Athletic Club

1.90

17%

Osasuna

5.92

Win to Nil

34%

Athletic Club

2.92

2%

Osasuna

46.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.8 10.1 3.2 0.7 0.1
2 14.1 9.0 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 8.4 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 3.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.779
λ Away (xG) 0.640
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.190
Athletic Club attack strength 1.262
Athletic Club defence strength 0.779
Osasuna attack strength 0.690
Osasuna defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66