Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

71%

Athletic Club

1.41

18%

Draw

5.52

11%

Mallorca

9.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.90

0.71

Mallorca xG

71%
18%
Athletic ClubDrawMallorca

1.41

71%

Home win

5.52

18%

Draw

9.24

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

49%

Athletic Club

2.04

11%

Mallorca

8.86

Win to Nil

35%

Athletic Club

2.87

1%

Mallorca

81.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 12.1 8.6 3.1 0.7 0.1
2 13.2 9.4 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 9.6 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 5.2 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.181
λ Away (xG) 0.714
Total xG 2.895
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 1.127
Athletic Club attack strength 1.354
Athletic Club defence strength 0.762
Mallorca attack strength 0.832
Mallorca defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64