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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

59%

Athletic Club

1.71

24%

Draw

4.16

17%

Leganes

5.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.47

0.79

Leganes xG

59%
24%
17%
Athletic ClubDrawLeganes

1.71

59%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

5.72

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

45%

Athletic Club

2.21

19%

Leganes

5.37

Win to Nil

26%

Athletic Club

3.78

3%

Leganes

30.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 14.2 11.2 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.9 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.7 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.8 2.2 0.9 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.680
λ Away (xG) 0.793
Total xG 2.473
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.177
Athletic Club attack strength 1.141
Athletic Club defence strength 0.773
Leganes attack strength 0.871
Leganes defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 20