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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

San Mamés

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

31%

Athletic Club

3.22

24%

Draw

4.22

45%

Barcelona

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

3.18

1.76

Barcelona xG

31%
24%
45%
Athletic ClubDrawBarcelona

3.22

31%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

17%

Athletic Club

5.80

24%

Barcelona

4.16

Win to Nil

5%

Athletic Club

18.63

11%

Barcelona

9.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.3 6.4 3.7 1.6 0.6
1 5.9 10.4 9.1 5.3 2.3 0.8
2 4.2 7.4 6.5 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 2.0 3.5 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 1.757
Total xG 3.183
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.148
Athletic Club attack strength 0.959
Athletic Club defence strength 1.068
Barcelona attack strength 1.433
Barcelona defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64