Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

20:00

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

38%

Athletic Club

2.61

27%

Draw

3.65

34%

Barcelona

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.43

1.18

Barcelona xG

38%
27%
34%
Athletic ClubDrawBarcelona

2.61

38%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

31%

Athletic Club

3.24

28%

Barcelona

3.52

Win to Nil

12%

Athletic Club

8.45

10%

Barcelona

10.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 10.3 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.0 13.0 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.9 8.2 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.258
λ Away (xG) 1.175
Total xG 2.433
League avg home goals 1.381
League avg away goals 1.184
Athletic Club attack strength 1.140
Athletic Club defence strength 0.672
Barcelona attack strength 1.476
Barcelona defence strength 0.799
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75