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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

40%

Alaves

2.49

28%

Draw

3.55

32%

Girona

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.31

1.07

Girona xG

40%
28%
32%
AlavesDrawGirona

2.49

40%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

34%

Alaves

2.91

29%

Girona

3.46

Win to Nil

14%

Alaves

7.24

9%

Girona

10.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 10.6 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.3 13.2 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.6 8.2 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.242
λ Away (xG) 1.069
Total xG 2.311
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.185
Alaves attack strength 0.876
Alaves defence strength 0.966
Girona attack strength 0.934
Girona defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56