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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Alaves Win
40%
2.48
29%
3.40
30%
3.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.0%
Home win
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.29
Alaves xG
Total xG
2.37
1.08
Elche xG
AlavesDrawElche
2.48
40%
Home win
3.40
29%
Draw
3.29
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.05
51%
BTTS No
1.95
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
28%
3.63
Win to Nil
14%
7.34
8%
11.94
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.288
λ Away (xG)
1.084
Total xG
2.372
League avg home goals
1.442
League avg away goals
1.146
Alaves attack strength
0.881
Alaves defence strength
0.985
Elche attack strength
0.960
Elche defence strength
1.014
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 7