Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

11:30

Venue

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ulsan Hyundai FC Win

37%

Ulsan Hyundai FC

2.73

29%

Draw

3.42

34%

Gwangju FC

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Ulsan Hyundai FC xG

Total xG

2.18

1.06

Gwangju FC xG

37%
29%
34%
Ulsan Hyundai FCDrawGwangju FC

2.73

37%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

35%

Ulsan Hyundai FC

2.90

33%

Gwangju FC

3.05

Win to Nil

13%

Ulsan Hyundai FC

7.90

11%

Gwangju FC

8.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 12.0 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.6 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.0 7.5 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.116
λ Away (xG) 1.064
Total xG 2.180
League avg home goals 1.221
League avg away goals 1.042
Ulsan Hyundai FC attack strength 0.988
Ulsan Hyundai FC defence strength 1.039
Gwangju FC attack strength 0.983
Gwangju FC defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 43