🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Shock result as Jeju United FC defy the odds to beat Suwon Bluewings 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeju United FC beat Suwon Bluewings 0-1 at Suwon World Cup Stadium, Final, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Suwon Bluewings 1.39 xG and Jeju United FC 1.22 xG, a combined 2.61. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Suwon Bluewings fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Suwon Bluewings attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Jeju United FC attack 0.86 / defence 1.09, drawn from 0/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Suwon Bluewings 40% | Draw 28% | Jeju United FC 32%, with Suwon Bluewings to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual Jeju United FC win had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights